Abstract: Sociological forecasting of political processes arose as a powerful industry.Nevertheless, results of the polls conducted by the major agencies diverged significantly with the voting in 2011 State Duma medline remedy phytoplex protectant z-guard paste elections.The article analyses major complications in forecasting results of elections using sociological data, including psychological factors, role of mass media and administrative resource.The author identifies strategies of caruso rhodiola the opposition, as well as proves predominant importance of Vladimir Putin for the electoral success of the ruling party on the basis of the polls.